Abstract

By constructing a system dynamics (SD) model of how mission-oriented innovation consortia empower the development of future industries, this study reveals the internal causal structure and dynamic evolution mechanism of the system in the process of multi-actor collaborative innovation. The results show that, throughout the simulation period, innovation consortia exert a sustained positive enabling effect on the development of future industries, mainly reflected in the expansion of industrial market demand, the accumulation of core technology breakthroughs, and the increase in the added value of the future industrial chain. Value co-creation intensity, patent resource complementarity, and technological adaptability jointly constitute the key mechanisms through which innovation consortia empower future industries. These mechanisms are coupled through multiple feedback paths, thereby maintaining the continuous evolutionary momentum of the system. From a system dynamics perspective, this study characterizes the dynamic interaction process and nonlinear evolutionary features between innovation consortia and future industry development, enriches the relevant theoretical framework, and provides a dynamic simulation basis for policy design related to future industries.

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