Archive/Phenotypic Diversity in Multiple Sclerosis Can Be Represented by Four Additive Symptom Modules
Phenotypic Diversity in Multiple Sclerosis Can Be Represented by Four Additive Symptom Modules
Daniel B. Hier, Pavankumar Y. Srinivasula, Michael D. Carrithers
July 16, 2026
en

Abstract

Background: Multiple sclerosis (MS) lacks a single invariant phenotypic core. Patients accumulate heterogeneous combinations of sensory, motor, cognitive, and autonomic impairments over time, reflecting lesions that are disseminated in time and space. Standard scales such as the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) distribute disability across functional systems, but do not explicitly represent MS phenotype as a mixture of latent symptom modules. Methods: We analyzed 4617 de-identified neurology progress notes from 577 patients with MS at a single academic medical center. A large language model (GPT-5.2) categorized each note with respect to 17 non-mutually-exclusive neurological phenotype features, and note-level features were aggregated to patient-level binary vectors. Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) was applied to generate three-, four-, and five-module solutions. For each rank, we computed approximate variance captured, relative reconstruction error, and module-level feature loadings. In the preferred four-module solution, we derived patient-level module percentages, identified highly dominant (≥55%) and archetypal (≥70%) module profiles, and quantified admixture using Shannon entropy and the effective number of modules. Results: Three-, four-, and five-module NMF solutions showed similar approximate variance captured (52.7–54.3%) and reconstruction error (0.47–0.53), but the four-module solution provided the clearest clinical interpretation. The four latent modules were sensory-visual-pain, ataxic-spastic-falls, cognitive-psychologic-fatigue, and autonomic-bladder-bowel, aligning closely with established functional systems in MS. Most patients exhibited admixed phenotypes, with module entropies ranging from 0 (single-module dominance) to 1.386 (equal mixture) and effective modules spanning approximately 1 to 4. Using pre-specified thresholds, 154 patients (26.6%) were highly dominant in a single module and 72 (12.5%) were archetypal; these purer phenotypes were most often in the sensory-visual-pain module. Conclusions: MS phenotypic diversity in routine clinical practice can be parsimoniously represented as mixtures of four latent symptom modules rather than as positions along a single severity axis. Most patients show substantial admixture of sensory, motor, cognitive, and autonomic involvement, but a minority exhibit relatively pure or strongly dominant module patterns. This modular representation provides an interpretable framework for quantifying MS phenotype and for generating testable hypotheses about MS subtypes whose biological relevance remains to be established.

IPC Classification

G06A61

Keywords

phenotypicdiversitymultiplesclerosisrepresentedfouradditivesymptommodulesbrainsciencesbackgroundlackssingleinvariantcorepatientsaccumulateheterogeneouscombinationssensorymotorcognitiveautonomic
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